نوع مقاله : علمی - پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری، رشته مدیریت دولتی، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران
2 دانشیار، گروه مدیریت دولتی، پژوهشکده مطالعات راهبردی فناوری، موسسه مطالعات بین المللی انرژی، تهران، ایران
3 استادیار، گروه مدیریت دولتی، دانشکده مدیریت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران مرکزی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The aim of this research is to suggest a planning model for human resources considering the foresight approach in the general energy policies. Grounded theory was employed in the qualitative data analysis and, the equation structure modelling was used in the quantitative analysis. The population in the qualitative phase was 15 experts and managers of human resources in the national oil industry of Iran. So far as the qualitative phase is concerned, the data was extracted through the semi-structured interview, and through questionnaire in the quantitative phase. The reliability and validity of the questionnaire was checked out via Cronbach alpha. The findings suggested six elements: causative, phenomenological, strategic, contextual, interventional, and consequential. The impact of causative conditions on the phenomenological one was 0.753 which showed a significant relationship. The interventional element was calculated to have 0.497, and contextual 0.426 significant effect on the strategic element. However, the strategic element had 0.842 level of positive significant impact on the consequential element, while the -0.056 impact of the phenomenological element on the strategic element meant to be non-significant. The human resource planning in oil industry requires the culture of foresight approach. Therefore, one can employ future studies as a significant source for a sound future.
کلیدواژهها [English]