Investigating the Impact of Macroeconomic Instability on Private Investment in Iran

Document Type : Review Article

Authors

1 Ph.D. student of law, Advisor to the Minister of Justice

2 Department of Economics, Marand Branch, Islamic Azad University, Marand, Iran

3 PhD Student, Department of Economics, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran

Abstract

Investigating the Impact of Macroeconomic Instability on Private Investment in Iran


Abstract
Macroeconomic instability can reduce the accumulation of physical capital and the efficiency of investment utility in economy. In this study, using the Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) model, we've evaluated the effects of instability in indicators of macroeconomic on private investment in Iran since 1981 to 2016. Variables used for this purpose are; inflation, government deficit ratio to GDP, balance of payments deficit ratio to GDP and real exchange rate. Here "instability" is the modular of each variables stable trend using the moving average method during four years. The Results indicate the positive impact of instability in government deficit ratio to GDP and the negative impacts of instability in inflation and in real exchange rate on private investment.

JEL classification: E63.

Key words: instability of macroeconomic indicators, private investment, moving average.

Key words: instability of macroeconomic indicators, private investment, moving average.

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

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Quarterly Journal of The Macro and Strategic Policies
Volume 6, Issue 22
August 2018
Pages 81-100

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